Road to the Playoffs - Men's
Basketball Expressions tries to sort of out the QBL playoff mess. We have created a page with all the possible scenarios, have a started with the south pool and should have the rest of the pools and an overall situation over the coming hours
North Pool
Scenario A - Townsville wins QBL regular season
Scenario B - Logan or Brisbane wins QBL regular season
Townsville Heat (11-2)
Remaining Games: @ Gladstone (4-8), @ Cairns (8-6), vs. SC Rip (4-9), vs. Bundaberg (2-11)
Tiebreakers: vs. Rockhampton (2-0, +13), vs. Mackay (2-0, +14), vs. Cairns (1-0, +16), vs. Gladstone (1-0, +5)
To win first place in the North
- Win 1 game or more (Irrespective of other teams results)
- Win 0 games and Rockhampton wins 2 games or less
Rockhampton Rockets (9-5)
Remaining Games: @ Gladstone (4-8), vs. Mackay (8-6), vs. Ipswich (6-7)
Tiebreakers: vs. Townsville (0-2, -13), vs. Mackay (0-1, +18), vs. Cairns (2-0, +30), vs. Gladstone (1-0,+ 41)
To win first place in North
- Win 3 games and Townsville wins 0 games
To retain second place in North
Head to Head Battles
vs. Mackay
-Win 3 games (irrespecitve of what Mackay or Cairns do)
-Win 2 games and Mackay win 1 game or less
-Win 1 game (win by Mackay by 18 or more) and Mackay wins 2 games or
-Win 1 game (lose to Mackay)and win 1 game
vs. Cairns
-Win 2 games and Cairns win 3 games or less
-Win 1 game and Cairns wins 2 games or less
-Win 0 games and Cairns wins 1 game or less
Mackay Meteors (8-6)
Mathematically eliminated from first place in North (Scenario A and B)
Remaining Games: vs. Toowoomba (2-11), @ Rockhampton (9-5), vs. Ipswich (6-7)
Tiebreakers: vs. Townsville (0-2, -14), vs. Rockhampton (1-0, +18), vs. Cairns (1-1, -4), vs.
Gladstone (1-1, +16)
To win second place in North
-Win 3 games and Rockhampton win 2 or less games
-Win 2 games (with Rockhampton) and Rockhampton win 1 game or less
-Win 2 games (without Rockhampton) and Rockhampton wins 1 games (against Mackay but by less than 18 points)
Cairns Marlins (8-6)
Remaining Games: vs. Townsville (11-2), vs. SC Rip (4-9), vs. Bundaberg (2-11)
Tiebreakers: vs. Townsville (0-1, - 16), vs. Rockhampton (0-2, -30), vs. Mackay (1-1, +6), vs. Gladstone (2-0, +35)
To win first place in North (Scenario A and B)
- Win all three games (Townsville by at least 17 points), Townsville loss all 4 games, Rockhampton and Mackay win only 1 remaining game each
To win second place in the North (Scenario A and B)
- Win 3 games, Rockhampton wins 1 game and Mackay 2 games
- Win 2 games, Rockhampton wins 0 games and Mackay only win 1 game (vs. Rockhampton)
To win third place in the North (Scenario A)
- Win all 3 games (irrespective what Mackay does in its remaining games)
- Win 2 games and Mackay loses 1 or more games
- Win 1 games and Mackay loses 2 or more games
- Win 0 games and Mackay loses 3 games
- Both Cairns and Mackay win 0 games and Gladstone win 3 games or less
Gladstone Port City Power (4-8)
Mathematically eliminated from playoffs (Scenario B)
Remaining Games: vs. Townsville (11-2), vs. Rockhampton (11-3), vs. Bundaberg (2-11), @ SC Rip (4-9), @ SC Phoenix-Clippers (6-7)
To win third place in the North (Scenario A)
- Win all 5 games and both Cairns and Mackay lose their remaining games
Quadriple Tie scenario
Cairns, Mackay, Rockhampton and Townsville all win 11 games
- Townsville lose all 4 games, Rockhampton win 2 games (must lose to Mackay), Mackay wins 3 games and Cairns wins 3 games
Triple Tie scenarios
Townsville, Rockhampton and Mackay equal on first place (11 wins)
- Townsville win 0 games, Rockhampton win 2, Mackay win 3 games and Cairns win 2 games or less
Rockhampton, Cairns and Mackay equal on 2nd place
11 wins
- Rockhampton wins 2 games (loses to Mackay), both Cairns and Mackay wins 3 games
10 wins
- Rockhampton wins 1 game (loses to Mackay), Mackay wins 2 games (beats Rockhampton) and Cairns win 2 games
-Rockhampton wins 1 game (beats Mackay), Mackay wins 2 games (loses to Rockhampton) and Cairns win 2 games
9 wins
- Rockhampton win 0 games, Mackay wins 1 game (beats Rockhampton) and Cairns win 1 game
Cairns, Gladstone and Mackay equal on 3rd place
- Gladstone win all 5 games, Cairns and Mackay only win one game (Cairns would have the advantage)
Central Pool
Scenario A - Townsville wins QBL regular season
Scenario B - Logan or Brisbane wins QBL regular season
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Logan Thunder (11-3)
Mathematically assured of a playoff spot (Scenario A and B)
Remaining Games: @ Toowoomba (2-11), vs. Brisbane (11-3), vs. South West (8-5)
Tiebreakers: vs. Brisbane (0-1, -18), vs. SC Phoenix-Clippers (1-1, +5), SC Rip (2-0, +13), Bundaberg (2-0, +58)
To win first place in Central
-Win 3 games
-Win 2 games (win Brisbane) and Brisbane win 2 games or less
-Win 2 games (lose to Brisbane by less than 18 points) and Brisbane win 2 games or less
-Win 1 game (win Brisbane) and Brisbane win 1 game or less
-Win 1 game (lose to Brisbane by less than 18 points) and Brisbane win 1 game or less
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Brisbane Capitals (11-3)
Mathematically assured of a playoff spot (Scenario A and B)
Remaining Games: vs. SC Phoenix-Clippers (6-7), @ Logan (11-3), vs. Toowoomba (2-11)
Tiebreakers: vs. Logan (0-1, -18), SC Phoenix-Clippers (1-0, +6), SC Rip (2-0, +30), vs. Bundaberg (2-0, +62),
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To win first place in the Central
-Win 3 games
-Win 2 games (win Logan by more than 18) and Logan wins 2 games or less
-Win 2 games (loss to Logan) and Logan wins 1 game or less
-Win 1 games (win Logan by more than 18) and Logan wins 0 games
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SC Phoenix-Clippers (6-7)
Mathematically eliminated from playoffs (Scenario A)
Remaining Games: vs. SW Metro (8-6), @ Brisbane (11-3), @ Ipswich (6-7), vs. Gladstone (4-8)
Tiebreakers: vs. Logan (1-1, -5), vs. Brisbane (0-1, +6), vs. SC Rip (2-0, +22), vs. Bundaberg (2-0, +47)
How to get third place in Central (Scenario B)
- Win 2 games and SC Rip win 4 games or less
- Win 1 game and SC Rip win 3 games or less
- Win 0 games and SC Rip win 2 games or less
SC Rip (4-9)
Mathematically eliminated from playoffs (Scenario A)
Remaining Games: vs. Gold Coast (3-10), @ Cairns (8-6), @ Townsville (11-2), vs. Gladstone (4-8)
Tiebreakers: vs. Logan (0-2, +13), vs. Brisbane (0-2, +30), vs. SC Phoenix-Clippers (0-2. -22), vs. Bundaberg (2-0, +10)
How to get third place in Central (Scenario B)
- Win 4 games and SC Phoenix-Clippers win 1 game or less
- Win 3 games and SC Phoenix-Clippers win 0 games
Bundaberg Bulls (2-11)
Mathematically eliminated from playoffs (Scenario A and B)
Remaining Games: vs. Gold Coast (3-10), @ Gladstone (4-8), @ Townsville (11-2), @ Cairns (8-6)
South Pool
SW Metro Pirates (8-5)
Mathematically assured of a playoff spot
Remaining Games: @ SC Phoenix (6-7), vs. Ipswich (6-7), @ Gold Coast (3-10), vs. Logan (11-3)
Tiebreakers: vs. Gold Coast (1-1, + 4), vs. Ipswich (1-0, +11), vs. Toowoomba (2-0, +28)
To win first place in the South
- Win 3 games or more (with or without a win against Ipswich)
- Win 2 games if Ipswich has 4 wins
- Win 1 game if Ipswich has 3 wins or less
- Win 0 games if Ipswich has 2 wins or less
Note: Last three possibilities would require Ipswich to win by 10 points or less
Ipswich Force (6-7)
Remaining Games: @SW Metro (8-5), vs. SC Phoenix (6-7),@ Rockhampton (9-5), @ Mackay (8-6)
Tiebreakers: vs. Gold Coast (1-1, -22), vs. SW Metro (0-1, -11), vs. Toowoomba (3-0,+12)
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To win first place in the South
-Wins 4 games and SW Metro has 2 wins or less
-Wins 3 games and South West has 1 win or less
-Wins 2 games and South West has 0 wins
Note: All possibilities would require Ipswich to win by 12 points or more
To win second place in the South
- Win 1 game and Gold Coast has 3 wins or less
- Win 0 games and Gold Coast has 2 wins or less
Gold Coast Rollers (3-10)
Mathematically out of the first place in South
Remaining Games: @ Bundaberg (2-11), @ SC Rip (4-9), vs. SW Metro (8-5), @ Toowoomba (2-11)
Tiebreakers: vs. Ipswich (1-1, +22), vs. SW Metro (1-1, -4), vs. Toowoomba (0-1, -14)
To win second place in the South
- Win all 4 games and Ipswich win 1 or less games
- Win 3 games and Ipswich win 0 games
Toowoomba Mountaineers (2-11)
Mathematically elimated from playoffs
Remaining Games: @ Mackay (2-11), vs. Logan (11-3), @ Brisbane (11-3), vs. Gold Coast (3-10)